Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.030958 1.163816 1.309042 1.479857 1.675631 1.893416 2.154618
2024-12-29 0.828687 1.007648 1.219911 1.491453 1.831327 2.244907 2.789697
2025-01-05 0.704022 0.898682 1.142310 1.471945 1.909854 2.476543 3.273399
2025-01-12 0.618974 0.821714 1.086755 1.462212 1.986185 2.700025 3.760797
2025-01-19 0.535244 0.733818 1.002911 1.398950 1.974956 2.794558 4.071334
2025-01-26 0.495047 0.699391 0.985769 1.422687 2.083559 3.063838 4.662053
2025-02-02 0.462586 0.671574 0.973561 1.449742 2.196531 3.347898 5.306899
2025-02-09 0.430634 0.640752 0.952902 1.460125 2.282429 3.596261 5.922255
2025-02-16 0.402082 0.611981 0.931896 1.466462 2.360388 3.837390 6.552551
2025-02-23 0.381729 0.593762 0.924983 1.493585 2.473507 4.146573 7.338254
2025-03-02 0.350346 0.555195 0.882043 1.456380 2.472426 4.257568 7.775822
2025-03-09 0.336408 0.543653 0.881781 1.490796 2.598598 4.605480 8.701904
2025-03-16 0.313474 0.515784 0.852706 1.473564 2.632494 4.792918 9.350542
2025-03-23 0.298037 0.499405 0.841827 1.487699 2.725714 5.102610 10.291340
2025-03-30 0.278675 0.474627 0.814120 1.468023 2.751807 5.283413 10.985196
2025-04-06 0.262663 0.454493 0.792945 1.458338 2.795763 5.503707 11.794697
2025-04-13 0.240457 0.421614 0.746144 1.395259 2.726128 5.481807 12.055194
2025-04-20 0.232050 0.413300 0.743921 1.418927 2.836115 5.850454 13.273999
2025-04-27 0.224654 0.406279 0.743482 1.445903 2.955472 6.252726 14.634804
2025-05-04 0.215721 0.395688 0.735338 1.456256 3.039840 6.586340 15.877058
2025-05-11 0.206953 0.384785 0.725729 1.462575 3.115709 6.908885 17.141472
2025-05-18 0.201066 0.379075 0.725923 1.489618 3.240896 7.361955 18.825310
2025-05-25 0.188804 0.359923 0.697677 1.452522 3.214207 7.445010 19.510046